I have a blog, hardly anyone reads it, or hardly anyone did back when it was on wordpress and I got stats for that kind of thing; now it's on github and doesn't track anything, I have no idea. Back when I did know, I found that linking to it from here got me 30-100 extra hits, compared to the 1-3 any normal post would get.
> •“Nobody needs this” / “It’s not original” […] •What made it worth it for you?
I would still recommend it: it does save me time having to explain myself in detail, as I can just post a link to whichever blog post is the essay about whatever.
> •“AI can explain most topics better than I can”
AI can be more persuasive than most humans, but it doesn't make it more correct, the lack of correctness is a common criticism of AI slop by just about everyone.
> •A bit of fear: shipping something that feels naive or low-signal
Allow yourself to be naïve, we're all that at some point. Here's one of mine, where in 2018 I look back on predictions made in 2012. Some held up well, some, it turned out, were physically impossible: https://benwheatley.github.io/blog/2018/07/17-16.09.05.html
Naïve errors: Optical-wavelength metamaterial cloaking, fabric or otherwise, is not possible, the bandwidth is too narrow; Robot cars may be technically available in many countries, but they're sure not "rapidly displacing human drivers because they are much safer and therefore cheaper to insure".
Close but no cigar: Nameplate solar power didn't reach par with global electricity use in 2024, but it did get to 1865 TW, which would have been 82% of global electricity use at the time I made the prediction. Actual global electricity use is 50% higher today than in 2012.
Correct: China's GDP did in fact more than double between 2012 and 2022: https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=GDP+china+2022+%2F+GDP+...
> •Any practical format that lowers the bar (length, cadence, themes)?
Something you find interesting. Look at my blog and you won't only find deep thoughts, you'll also find this because it was fun at the time: https://benwheatley.github.io/blog/2018/12/21-09.27.02.html
But not just jokes, because I'll also write about bioprinted fairy drones: https://benwheatley.github.io/blog/2021/05/22-21.06.36.html